While they made hard work of last week's win over the league's new boys, Gil Vicente's seeming superior match-winning quality and slightly better form to their hosts mean we are backing Pinheiro to secure a win over his old side Estoril this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 35.93%. A win for Estoril Praia has a probability of 35.04% and a draw has a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win is 1-0 (12%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.39%).
-0.35) 
0.12) 
