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SM
Man City vs. Arsenal: 22 hrs 13 mins
B
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Oct 17, 2020 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
N
Braga
2 - 1
Nacional
Fransergio (28'), Medeiros (42')
Sequeira (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Borges (86')
Ramos (31'), Kal (36'), Freitas (70'), Azouni (89')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 63.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 15.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawNacional
63.83%20.65%15.52%
Both teams to score 50.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.16%44.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.8%67.2%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.64%13.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.76%40.25%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.37%41.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.89%78.12%
Score Analysis
    Braga 63.82%
    Nacional 15.52%
    Draw 20.65%
BragaDrawNacional
2-0 @ 11.26%
1-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 9.88%
3-0 @ 7.56%
3-1 @ 6.63%
4-0 @ 3.81%
4-1 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 2.9%
5-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.46%
5-1 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 63.82%
1-1 @ 9.81%
0-0 @ 5.56%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 20.65%
0-1 @ 4.87%
1-2 @ 4.3%
0-2 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.26%
1-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 15.52%

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Primeira Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica29242369175274
2Porto29224362194370
3Braga29222562243868
4Sporting Lisbon29194659273261
5AroucaArouca2913973333048
6FamalicaoFamalicao29133133337-442
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes29125122735-841
8Vizela29116123230239
9Casa Pia29116122733-639
10ChavesChaves29910102934-537
11BoavistaBoavista29107123648-1237
12Rio AveRio Ave2998123035-535
13PortimonensePortimonense29103162235-1333
14Gil Vicente2987142634-831
15Estoril PraiaEstoril2974182345-2225
16Maritimo2964192654-2822
17Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira2945202151-3017
18Santa ClaraSanta Clara2937191945-2616
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