Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 8.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.71%) and 1-0 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
