It is hard not to expect anything other than a routine victory for Benfica on Saturday. Not only are the hosts on an impressive winning sequence on their turf, but Estrela's away blues have seemingly been carried over into the 2024-25 season, pointing to a seventh straight loss against the Eagles at the Stadium of Light.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 79.92%. A draw has a probability of 12.8% and a win for Estrela Amadora has a probability of 7.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.93%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it is 1-2 (2.27%).
0.04) 
-0.02) 
