SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 25.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
47.29% ( 0.2) | 27.68% ( 0.27) | 25.02% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 44.3% ( -1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.49% ( -1.21) | 60.51% ( 1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.37% ( -0.92) | 80.62% ( 0.92) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.31% ( -0.45) | 25.69% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.39% ( -0.61) | 60.6% ( 0.61) |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.62% ( -1.12) | 40.38% ( 1.11) |
