This is an important game for West Ham in terms of their top-four hopes, and it would be huge for the Hammers if they could record another win ahead of their trip to Man United. We are expecting Leeds to make it difficult for the home side but believe that West Ham will navigate their way to all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 18.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
