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Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK at St. James' Park
Newcastle
2 - 0
Nott'm Forest
Schar (58'), Wilson (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Worrall (15'), Williams (23'), O'Brien (56')

We said: Newcastle United 2-1 Nottingham Forest

Given the standard of players that have been signed by Forest, it would be naive to rule out the visitors from causing a surprise in the North East. However, despite Forest likely to have a spring in their step, Newcastle's greater quality and experience should shine through come the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 45.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawNottingham Forest
45.01% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 28.24% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 26.74% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 44.1% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.59% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)61.41% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.7% (-0.038 -0.04)81.3% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)27.26% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.31% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)62.69% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.63% (0.030999999999999 0.03)39.37% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.93% (0.027999999999999 0.03)76.06% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 45.01%
    Nottingham Forest 26.74%
    Draw 28.23%
Newcastle UnitedDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 13.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.07% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 45.01%
1-1 @ 13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.23%
0-1 @ 10% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 26.74%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Atalanta
Friday, July 29 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Benfica 3-2 Newcastle
Tuesday, July 26 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Mainz 05 1-0 Newcastle
Monday, July 18 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Newcastle 3-0 1860 Munich
Friday, July 15 at 1.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Newcastle 5-1 Gateshead
Saturday, July 9 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Valencia
Saturday, July 30 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Notts County
Tuesday, July 26 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, July 23 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 3-1 Hertha Berlin
Wednesday, July 20 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Barnsley 0-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, July 16 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, July 12 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
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