Newcastle United 2-0 Nottingham Forest - Premier League - August 6, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Given the standard of players that have been signed by Forest, it would be naive to rule out the visitors from causing a surprise in the North East. However, despite Forest likely to have a spring in their step, Newcastle's greater quality and experience should shine through come the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 45.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Nottingham Forest
45.01% ( -0.09)	28.24% ( 0.02)	26.74% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 44.1% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.59% (

-0.05)

61.41% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.7% (

-0.04)

81.3% (

0.04)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.74% (

-0.07)

27.26% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.31% (

-0.09)

62.69% (

0.09)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.63% (

0.03)

39.37% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.93% (

0.03)

76.06% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 45.01%

Nottingham Forest 26.74%

Draw 28.23%

Newcastle United	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 13.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 45.01%	1-1 @ 13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.23%	0-1 @ 10% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.45% Total : 26.74%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Manchester City Man City	38	28	5	5	94	33	61	89
2	Arsenal	38	26	6	6	88	43	45	84
3	Manchester United Man Utd	38	23	6	9	58	43	15	75
4	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	19	14	5	68	33	35	71
5	Liverpool	38	19	10	9	75	47	28	67
6	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	18	8	12	72	53	19	62
7	Aston Villa	38	18	7	13	51	46	5	61
8	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	18	6	14	70	63	7	60
9	Brentford	38	15	14	9	58	46	12	59
10	Fulham	38	15	7	16	55	53	2	52
11	Crystal Palace	38	11	12	15	40	49	-9	45
12	Chelsea	38	11	11	16	38	47	-9	44
13	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	11	8	19	31	58	-27	41
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	7	20	42	55	-13	40
15	Bournemouth	38	11	6	21	37	71	-34	39
16	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	9	11	18	38	68	-30	38
17	Everton	38	8	12	18	34	57	-23	36
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	9	7	22	51	68	-17	34
R	Leeds United Leeds	38	7	10	21	48	78	-30	31
R	Southampton	38	6	7	25	36	73	-37	25

Form, Standings, Stats