MX23RW : Saturday, July 23 08:35:10
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawAston Villa
53.61%23.24%23.15%
Both teams to score 55.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.99%45.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.64%67.36%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.27%16.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.36%46.65%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53%33.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9%70.11%
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 53.61%
    Aston Villa 23.15%
    Draw 23.23%
Manchester UnitedDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 8.95%
3-1 @ 5.84%
3-0 @ 5.33%
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 2.61%
4-0 @ 2.38%
4-2 @ 1.43%
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 53.61%
1-1 @ 10.95%
0-0 @ 5.6%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.23%
0-1 @ 6.13%
1-2 @ 6%
0-2 @ 3.35%
1-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 23.15%

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