Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 67.17%. A draw has a probability of 19.1% and a win for Norwich City has a probability of 13.7%.

The most likely scoreline was Manchester City 2-0 Norwich City with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines were 1-0 (10.55%), 2-1 (9.79%), 1-1 (9.07%). The actual score line of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.9%.