Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match.
