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Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Chelsea 3-1 Watford

With both teams expected to make many changes to their starting lineup, this contest will really have an end-of-season feel to it. Nevertheless, Chelsea will want to end an exhausting season on a high, and we expect the Blues to come through in a relatively entertaining game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 77.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 7.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.82%) and 1-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawWatford
77.69% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 14.44% (0.0010000000000012 0) 7.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Both teams to score 46.06% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)36.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.86% (0.0019999999999953 0)59.14%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)7.74% (0.0011000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.45%27.55% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)50.07% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.29% (0.0020000000000007 0)84.71% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 77.69%
    Watford 7.87%
    Draw 14.44%
ChelseaDrawWatford
2-0 @ 12.68%
3-0 @ 10.82%
1-0 @ 9.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 8.78%
3-1 @ 7.49%
4-0 @ 6.92%
4-1 @ 4.79%
5-0 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 2.59%
5-1 @ 2.45%
4-2 @ 1.66%
6-0 @ 1.51%
6-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 77.69%
1-1 @ 6.86%
0-0 @ 3.88%
2-2 @ 3.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 14.44%
0-1 @ 2.68%
1-2 @ 2.37%
0-2 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 7.87%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Leicester
Thursday, May 19 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-0 Liverpool (5-6 pen.)
Saturday, May 14 at 4.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Leeds 0-3 Chelsea
Wednesday, May 11 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-2 Wolves
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-0 Chelsea
Sunday, May 1 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-1 Chelsea
Thursday, April 28 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Watford 1-5 Leicester
Sunday, May 15 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Watford 0-0 Everton
Wednesday, May 11 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-0 Watford
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Burnley
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 5-1 Watford
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Brentford
Saturday, April 16 at 3pm in Premier League
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