Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
