MX23RW : Monday, December 26 22:57:05
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Oct 4, 2020 at 7.15pm UK at Villa Park
Aston Villa
7 - 2
Liverpool
Watkins (4', 22', 39'), McGinn (35'), Barkley (55'), Grealish (66', 75')
Luiz (46'), Nakamba (90+2')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Salah (33', 60')
van Dijk (38')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 68.01%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 13.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-0 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawLiverpool
13.01%18.98%68.01%
Both teams to score 49.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.17%42.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.77%65.23%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56%43.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.88%80.12%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.42%11.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.46%36.53%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 13.01%
    Liverpool 68.01%
    Draw 18.98%
Aston VillaDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 4.18%
2-1 @ 3.7%
2-0 @ 1.72%
3-2 @ 1.09%
3-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 13.01%
1-1 @ 9.02%
0-0 @ 5.09%
2-2 @ 3.99%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 18.98%
0-2 @ 11.84%
0-1 @ 10.98%
1-2 @ 9.72%
0-3 @ 8.51%
1-3 @ 6.99%
0-4 @ 4.59%
1-4 @ 3.77%
2-3 @ 2.87%
0-5 @ 1.98%
1-5 @ 1.63%
2-4 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 68.01%

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