SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City Under-21s win with a probability of 55.45%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 24.79% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
55.45% ( -0.09) | 19.76% ( 0.03) | 24.79% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 70.23% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.46% ( -0.1) | 26.55% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.09% ( -0.12) | 46.91% ( 0.12) |
| Norwich City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.05% ( -0.05) | 9.95% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.1% ( -0.12) | 32.9% ( 0.12) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.98% ( -0.02) | 22.02% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.66% ( -0.03) | 55.34% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.98% Total : 55.45% | 1-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 19.76% | 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0)0-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)3-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 24.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Southampton Under-21sSaints U21s | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 42 |
| P | Leeds United Under-21sLeeds U21s | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 53 | 29 | 24 | 42 |
| 3 | Nottingham Forest Under-21sForest U21s | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 41 |
| 4 | West Bromwich Albion Under-21sWBA U21s | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 37 |
| 5 | Aston Villa Under-21sAston Villa U21s | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 33 |
| 6 | Norwich City Under-21sNorwich U21s | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 30 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough Under-21sBoro U21s | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 26 |
| 8 | Newcastle United Under-21sNewcastle U21s | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Sunderland Under-21sSunderland U21s | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 20 |
| 10 | Stoke City Under-21sStoke U21s | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 14 |
| 11 | Derby County Under-21sDerby U21s | 20 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 70 | -57 | 1 |
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