SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
42.2% ( -0.05) | 24.21% ( 0.04) | 33.58% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
