Premier League 2 - Div 1
Sep 29, 2023 at 7pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby U21s
2 - 3
Brighton U21s
Gibson-Hammond (74', 82')
Radcliffe (55'), Fapetu (68')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 66.18%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s would win this match.
| Result |
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
16.34% ( 0.64) | 17.47% ( 0.37) | 66.18% ( -1) |
| Both teams to score 64.49% ( 0.06) |
| 72.11% ( -0.56) | 27.89% ( 0.57) |
| 51.39% ( -0.7) | 48.61% ( 0.71) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| 70.05% ( 0.33) | 29.95% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.94% ( 0.39) | 66.07% ( -0.39) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals |
| 92.06% ( -0.34) | 7.94% ( 0.35) |
