SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 49%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
49% ( -0.03) | 21.46% ( 0) | 29.54% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 68.18% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.08% ( -0.02) | 30.92% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.7% ( -0.02) | 52.29% ( 0.02) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.77% ( -0.02) | 13.23% ( 0.02) |
