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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 53.94%. A win for Reading Under-21s had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.55%) and 3-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Reading Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Reading Under-21s |
53.94% ( 3.32) | 19.33% ( -0.43) | 26.73% ( -2.89) |
| Both teams to score 74.09% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.49% ( -0.11) | 22.51% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.41% ( -0.15) | 41.59% ( 0.15) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91% ( 0.75) | 9% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.32% ( 1.78) | 30.68% ( -1.78) |
| Reading Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.42% ( -1.57) | 18.58% ( 1.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.15% ( -2.71) | 49.85% ( 2.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Reading Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.37)3-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.35)1-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.35)3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.4)4-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.31)5-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.23)4-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.12)5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.18)Other @ 4.87% Total : 53.94% | 2-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.18) 1-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 19.33% | 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.36) 2-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.31)1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.38)0-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.23)2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.22)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.21)3-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.19% Total : 26.73% |
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