SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 53.12%. A win for Reading Under-21s had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Reading Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Reading Under-21s |
53.12% ( 0.71) | 21.79% ( -0.12) | 25.09% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 62.79% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
