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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 24
Mar 10, 2025 at 6pm UK
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin
3 - 3
Legia

van Hoeven (37'), Mraz (65', 90+10', 90+11')
Labojko (48'), Wojcik (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gual (11'), Chodyna (55'), Morishita (71')
Wszolek (26'), Pankov (64'), Augustyniak (90'), Kovacevic (90+9')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Legia Warsaw.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 0-1 Motor Lublin
Sunday, March 2 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Molde 3-2 Legia
Thursday, March 6 at 5.45pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Motor Lublin has a probability of 36.35% and a draw has a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win is 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.35%).

Result
Motor LublinDrawLegia Warsaw
36.35% (-0.794 -0.79) 26.02% (0.188 0.19) 37.64% (0.608 0.61)
Both teams to score 54.18% (-0.658 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.76% (-0.832 -0.83)50.24% (0.835 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.8% (-0.744 -0.74)72.2% (0.74499999999999 0.74)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.24% (-0.842 -0.84)26.76% (0.843 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.96% (-1.125 -1.13)62.04% (1.126 1.13)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)26.03% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)61.06% (0.064 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Motor Lublin 36.35%
    Legia Warsaw 37.64%
    Draw 26.01%
Motor LublinDrawLegia Warsaw
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.05% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.66% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 36.35%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.97% (0.232 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.3 0.3)
1-2 @ 8.32% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.31% (0.193 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.73% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.83% (0.083 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 37.64%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 0-1 Motor Lublin
Sunday, March 2 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Motor Lublin 3-2 Katowice
Monday, February 24 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-0 Motor Lublin
Sunday, February 16 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 1-0 Motor Lublin
Sunday, February 9 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Motor Lublin 1-1 Gdansk
Saturday, February 1 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 2-2 Motor Lublin
Saturday, December 7 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Molde 3-2 Legia
Thursday, March 6 at 5.45pm in Conference League
Last Game: Legia 3-1 Slask Wroclaw
Sunday, March 2 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 3-1 Legia
Saturday, February 22 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 2-0 Puszcza Niepolomice
Saturday, February 15 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 1-0 Legia
Saturday, February 8 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 1-1 Korona Kielce
Sunday, February 2 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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