Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nieciecza win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Arka Gdynia had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nieciecza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Arka Gdynia win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
