SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 0-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Glentoran |
50.3% ( -0.2) | 23.96% ( 0.14) | 25.73% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.86% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.27% ( -0.57) | 45.72% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.95% ( -0.54) | 68.04% ( 0.54) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.77% ( -0.3) | 18.23% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.74% ( -0.5) | 49.25% ( 0.5) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.31% ( -0.26) | 31.68% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.89% ( -0.3) | 68.1% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Glentoran |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.47% Total : 50.3% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 25.73% |
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