Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 70.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 11.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
