SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Glenavon |
33.57% ( 0.08) | 23.85% ( -0.01) | 42.58% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 61.32% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.23% ( 0.06) | 40.76% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.85% ( 0.06) | 63.15% ( -0.07) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.1% ( 0.07) | 23.9% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.89% ( 0.1) | 58.1% ( -0.11) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.58% ( -0) | 19.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.75% ( -0) | 51.25% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 33.57% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.87% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 42.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | LinfieldLinfield | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 34 |
| 2 | CrusadersCrusaders | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 27 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 6 | 23 | 26 |
| 4 | LarneLarne | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 26 |
| 5 | GlentoranGlentoran | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
| 7 | Loughgall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 18 |
| 8 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 34 | -18 | 13 |
| 9 | Newry City AFC | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 10 |
| 10 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
| 11 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 8 |
| 12 | GlenavonGlenavon | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
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