Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 67.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 12.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.16%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
