Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Hungary win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
