SM
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Moldova win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Latvia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Moldova | Draw | Latvia |
30.16% ( 0.11) | 26.77% ( -0.05) | 43.07% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.15% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.33% ( 0.22) | 54.66% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24% ( 0.18) | 75.99% ( -0.19) |
| Moldova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% ( 0.2) | 32.99% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.42% ( 0.22) | 69.57% ( -0.22) |
| Latvia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( 0.06) | 25.15% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.12% ( 0.09) | 59.87% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Moldova | Draw | Latvia |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.16% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 43.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 69 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 47 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Brentford | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 42 |
| 9 | Fulham | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 27 |
| 14 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 | Everton | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 24 |
| 20 | Southampton | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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