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Sunday, November 20
Jun 7, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Italy
2 - 1
Hungary
Barella (30'), Pellegrini (45')
Barella (64'), Cristante (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mancini (61' og.)
Schafer (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Italy 2-1 Hungary
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: England vs. Italy
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Italy 2-1 Hungary
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Hungary vs. Germany
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Italy 1-1 Hungary

With a motivated squad which, once convened, becomes more than the sum of its parts, Hungary are capable of achieving several 'surprise' results in Group 3, and could upset the established order once again on Tuesday. Their more illustrious counterparts may have had a radical makeover, but Italy still look short of confidence in the final third, so expect a low-scoring encounter, which could end all-square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Hungary win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.

Result
ItalyDrawHungary
45.7% (0.031000000000006 0.03) 25.95% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03) 28.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.65% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.75% (0.107 0.11)52.25% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.04% (0.091999999999999 0.09)73.95% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.18% (0.060000000000002 0.06)22.82% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.46% (0.087000000000003 0.09)56.54% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Hungary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.92% (0.054000000000002 0.05)33.08% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.32% (0.059999999999999 0.06)69.67% (-0.059999999999988 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Italy 45.69%
    Hungary 28.35%
    Draw 25.94%
ItalyDrawHungary
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 45.69%
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.35% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 28.35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Italy 1-1 Germany
Saturday, June 4 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Italy 0-3 Argentina
Wednesday, June 1 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Turkey 2-3 Italy
Tuesday, March 29 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Italy 0-1 N. Macedonia
Thursday, March 24 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: N. Ireland 0-0 Italy
Monday, November 15 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Italy 1-1 Switzerland
Friday, November 12 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Hungary 1-0 England
Saturday, June 4 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: N. Ireland 0-1 Hungary
Tuesday, March 29 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Hungary 0-1 Serbia
Thursday, March 24 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Poland 1-2 Hungary
Monday, November 15 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Hungary 4-0 San Marino
Friday, November 12 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: England 1-1 Hungary
Tuesday, October 12 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
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