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Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 23, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de France
CN

France
vs.
Croatia

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Croatia 2-0 France
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Current League A2 Standings P GD PTS
1France6613
2Italy6513
3Belgium6-34
4Israel6-84
All competitions
Last Game: Croatia 2-0 France
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We say: France 2-0 Croatia (a.e.t, France win on penalties)

Back on home soil and with an embarrassment of riches to pick from in attack, France have our backing to at least level the tie in 90 minutes against a Croatia side who could be forgiven for sitting deep in the second leg. Not even 120 minutes may be enough to decide both teams' destiny, but if spot kicks are needed to settle the score, Les Bleus' significant firepower should be enough to complete a sterling comeback job and book their ticket to the semis. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a France win with a probability of 54.93%. A draw has a probability of 22.5% and a win for Croatia has a probability of 22.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Croatia win it is 1-2 (5.89%).

Result
FranceDrawCroatia
54.93% (0.111 0.11) 22.55% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 22.52% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 56.9% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.37% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)42.62% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)65.03% (0.080000000000013 0.08)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.57% (0.010999999999996 0.01)15.42% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.74% (0.018000000000001 0.02)44.25% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.28% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)32.72% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.72% (-0.152 -0.15)69.27% (0.152 0.15)
Score Analysis
    France 54.93%
    Croatia 22.52%
    Draw 22.54%
FranceDrawCroatia
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 9.43% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 54.93%
1-1 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.05% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.54%
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 22.52%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Croatia 2-0 France
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Italy 1-3 France
Sunday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: France 0-0 Israel
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Belgium 1-2 France
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Israel 1-4 France
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: France 2-0 Belgium
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Croatia 2-0 France
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Croatia 1-1 Portugal
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 1-0 Croatia
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Poland 3-3 Croatia
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Croatia 2-1 Scotland
Saturday, October 12 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Croatia 1-0 Poland
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League


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