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Nations League | Playoffs A/B | 2nd Leg
Mar 23, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
UN

Belgium
vs.
Ukraine

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Ukraine 3-1 Belgium
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Current League A2 Standings P GD PTS
1France6613
2Italy6513
3Belgium6-34
4Israel6-84
All competitions
Last Game: Ukraine 3-1 Belgium
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We say: Belgium 2-1 Ukraine (Ukraine win 4-3 on aggregate)

An ageing and disjointed Belgium squad may secure victory on the night, but Ukraine will bravely resist a two-goal loss and win the tie overall. The visitors have found some form in recent months, so they can now slay the Red Devils and celebrate promotion back to League A. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Belgium win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Ukraine has a probability of 20.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Ukraine win it is 0-1 (6.05%).

Result
BelgiumDrawUkraine
56.03% (-0.171 -0.17) 23.02% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 20.94% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 53.09% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.38% (-0.07 -0.07)46.62% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.11% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)68.89% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)16.46% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.85% (-0.151 -0.15)46.15% (0.149 0.15)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.55% (0.077999999999996 0.08)36.45% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.76% (0.080000000000002 0.08)73.23% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 56.03%
    Ukraine 20.94%
    Draw 23.02%
BelgiumDrawUkraine
1-0 @ 10.82%
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.77% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.87% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.65% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 56.03%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.02%
0-1 @ 6.05% (0.03 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.51% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 20.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ukraine 3-1 Belgium
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Israel 1-0 Belgium
Sunday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Belgium 0-1 Italy
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Belgium 1-2 France
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Italy 2-2 Belgium
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: France 2-0 Belgium
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Ukraine 3-1 Belgium
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Albania 1-2 Ukraine
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Georgia 1-1 Ukraine
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Ukraine 1-1 Czech Republic
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Ukraine 1-0 Georgia
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Czech Republic 3-2 Ukraine
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League


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