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Tuesday, March 18
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AN
Nations League | Playoffs B/C | 1st Leg
Mar 20, 2025 at 5pm UK
Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht
GN

Armenia
vs.
Georgia

 

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Latvia 1-2 Armenia
Sunday, November 17 at 2pm in Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Czech Republic 2-1 Georgia
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We say: Armenia 1-2 Georgia

Georgia have shown that they are capable of performing against top opposition, both in the European Championship and in their Nations League campaign. Armenia can consider themselves somewhat fortunate to be in a promotion playoff, but there is an element of unpredictability about them, given that they have a new head coach. We think that this match will be a close one, and that Georgia will take an advantage with them into the return leg at the weekend, and 2-1 should be enough for them to see the job through on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Armenia win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw has a probability of 23.6% and a win for Georgia has a probability of 21.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Georgia win it is 0-1 (6.42%).

Result
ArmeniaDrawGeorgia
55.33% (-0.175 -0.17) 23.56% (-0.345 -0.34) 21.11% (0.517 0.52)
Both teams to score 51.63% (1.8 1.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.32% (2.016 2.02)48.68% (-2.02 -2.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.21% (1.805 1.81)70.79% (-1.81 -1.81)
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55% (0.676 0.68)17.45% (-0.681 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.09% (1.171 1.17)47.91% (-1.175 -1.18)
Georgia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.54% (1.679 1.68)37.45% (-1.682 -1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.76% (1.611 1.61)74.24% (-1.615 -1.62)
Score Analysis
    Armenia 55.32%
    Georgia 21.11%
    Draw 23.56%
ArmeniaDrawGeorgia
1-0 @ 11.4% (-0.71 -0.71)
2-0 @ 9.96% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.8% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.69% (0.168 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.204 0.2)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.126 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 55.32%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.56 -0.56)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.251 0.25)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.56%
0-1 @ 6.42% (-0.238 -0.24)
1-2 @ 5.5% (0.171 0.17)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.134 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.148 0.15)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 21.11%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Latvia 1-2 Armenia
Sunday, November 17 at 2pm in Nations League
Last Game: Armenia 0-1 Faroe Islands
Thursday, November 14 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Armenia 0-2 N. Macedonia
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Faroe Islands 2-2 Armenia
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: N. Macedonia 2-0 Armenia
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Armenia 4-1 Latvia
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Czech Republic 2-1 Georgia
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Georgia 1-1 Ukraine
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Georgia 0-1 Albania
Monday, October 14 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Ukraine 1-0 Georgia
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Albania 0-1 Georgia
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Georgia 4-1 Czech Republic
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League


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