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National League | Gameweek 22
Feb 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Huish Park
W
Yeovil
1 - 1
Weymouth
Yussuf (52')
Robinson (38'), Worthington (63'), Wilkinson (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shields (4')
Murray (51'), Mussa (53'), Fitzsimons (63')
Mussa (90+3')

We said: Yeovil Town 1-0 Weymouth

Buoyed by their first win of a miserable January, Yeovil can back that up with a derby victory to start February in fine style. It may be a close-fought affair, as the hosts are not an expansive side, but Weymouth have been on an awful run and are likely to be caught short again on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 18.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Weymouth win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Yeovil TownDrawWeymouth
59.84%21.77%18.38%
Both teams to score 52.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.2%44.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.84%67.16%
Yeovil Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.44%14.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.38%42.62%
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.89%38.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.13%74.87%
Score Analysis
    Yeovil Town 59.84%
    Weymouth 18.39%
    Draw 21.77%
Yeovil TownDrawWeymouth
1-0 @ 10.69%
2-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.62%
3-1 @ 6.38%
4-0 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 3.08%
4-1 @ 3.07%
4-2 @ 1.48%
5-0 @ 1.23%
5-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 59.84%
1-1 @ 10.31%
0-0 @ 5.55%
2-2 @ 4.79%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.77%
0-1 @ 5.35%
1-2 @ 4.98%
0-2 @ 2.58%
1-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 18.39%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Chesterfield15122136211538
2Barnet16122235211438
3Solihull MoorsSolihull168622518730
4Bromley168532517829
5AltrinchamAltrincham157622820827
6Gateshead1574434191525
7Halifax TownHalifax166641815324
8Aldershot TownAldershot167362728-124
9Eastleigh166552527-223
10Oldham AthleticOldham165742422222
11Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool167182629-322
12Rochdale165562625120
13Woking165471919019
14Dorking WanderersDorking155371721-418
15Southend UnitedSouthend1683530171317
16WealdstoneWealdstone164571723-617
17Ebbsfleet165292330-717
18Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red164481621-516
19Boreham WoodBoreham Wood163761623-716
20York City163672432-815
21Oxford CityOxford City163582331-814
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead162771323-1013
23Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster163491020-1013
24Fylde1624102136-1510
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