SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 7 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Torquay United | 7 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Maidenhead United | 7 | -4 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Notts County | 7 | 12 | 15 |
| 4 | Solihull Moors | 7 | 10 | 14 |
| 5 | Boreham Wood | 7 | 6 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Solihull Moors |
31.76% ( -0.03) | 26.38% ( -0.05) | 41.86% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.03% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.44% ( 0.18) | 52.56% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.78% ( 0.16) | 74.22% ( -0.15) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% ( 0.07) | 30.78% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.95% ( 0.09) | 67.05% ( -0.08) |
| Solihull Moors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( 0.12) | 24.82% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.58% ( 0.16) | 59.41% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torquay United | Draw | Solihull Moors |
| 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 31.76% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.42% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 41.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 36 | 27 | 7 | 2 | 94 | 34 | 60 | 88 |
| 2 | Notts County | 36 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 90 | 33 | 57 | 84 |
| 3 | Woking | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 38 | 22 | 65 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 61 |
| 5 | Barnet | 35 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 58 |
| 7 | Eastleigh | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 57 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Bromley | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 52 |
| 10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 52 |
| 11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 51 |
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 48 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 54 | 65 | -11 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 44 |
| 15 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 43 |
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 42 |
| 17 | York City | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 39 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 39 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 78 | -28 | 37 |
| 20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 36 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 33 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 41 | 64 | -23 | 30 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 30 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 39 | 79 | -40 | 24 |
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