SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 69.74%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 12.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Barnet win it was 0-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Barnet |
69.74% ( -0.92) | 17.84% ( 0.45) | 12.42% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 51.7% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.95% ( -0.93) | 39.04% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.63% ( -0.98) | 61.37% ( 0.99) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.92% ( -0.47) | 10.08% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.79% ( -1.09) | 33.21% ( 1.09) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.49% ( 0.15) | 42.51% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.13% ( 0.13) | 78.87% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Barnet |
| 2-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.23)2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.6% Total : 69.74% | 1-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.02% Total : 17.84% | 0-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.38% Total : 12.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 39 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 97 | 36 | 61 | 91 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 37 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 95 | 34 | 61 | 91 |
| 3 | Woking | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 68 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 68 |
| 5 | Barnet | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 69 | 61 | 8 | 63 |
| 6 | Eastleigh | 39 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 63 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 37 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 61 |
| 8 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 55 |
| 9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 54 |
| 10 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 37 | 15 | 8 | 14 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Bromley | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 52 |
| 12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 52 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 49 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 47 |
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 45 |
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 43 |
| 17 | Halifax TownHalifax | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
| 18 | York City | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 42 |
| 19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 37 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 38 |
| 20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 37 | 10 | 7 | 20 | 52 | 83 | -31 | 37 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 34 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 33 |
| 23 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 43 | 67 | -24 | 31 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 24 |
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