SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Solihull Moors had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Solihull Moors win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Solihull Moors |
38.56% ( -0.02) | 24.51% ( 0.01) | 36.93% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.55% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.66% ( -0.05) | 43.34% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.26% ( -0.05) | 65.73% ( 0.04) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.59% ( -0.03) | 22.4% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.08% ( -0.05) | 55.92% ( 0.04) |
| Solihull Moors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( -0.02) | 23.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.83% ( -0.02) | 57.16% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | Solihull Moors |
| 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 38.56% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.03% 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.19% Total : 36.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 30 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 74 | 27 | 47 | 71 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 28 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 72 | 24 | 48 | 68 |
| 3 | Woking | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 53 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 52 |
| 5 | Barnet | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 50 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 42 |
| 7 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 41 |
| 8 | Bromley | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 41 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 41 |
| 11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 37 |
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 36 |
| 14 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 36 |
| 15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 35 |
| 16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 33 |
| 17 | York City | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 32 |
| 18 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 32 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 30 |
| 20 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 28 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 28 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 26 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 23 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 22 |
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