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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Gateshead |
37.35% ( -0.09) | 25.07% ( 0.03) | 37.57% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.51% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.02% ( -0.13) | 45.98% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.71% ( -0.12) | 68.29% ( 0.12) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% ( -0.11) | 24.22% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.43% ( -0.15) | 58.56% ( 0.15) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.89% ( -0.02) | 24.1% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.6% ( -0.03) | 58.4% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 37.35% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 1% ( -0)0-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.57% |
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