SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.48%) and 2-0 (5.35%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Barnet |
39.78% ( 0.02) | 23.25% ( -0.01) | 36.97% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 64.31% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.83% ( 0.02) | 37.17% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.63% ( 0.03) | 59.37% ( -0.03) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.85% ( 0.02) | 19.15% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.2% ( 0.04) | 50.8% ( -0.04) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.54% ( -0) | 20.46% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.07% ( 0) | 52.93% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Barnet |
| 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.35% 3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 39.78% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.25% | 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 25 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 62 |
| 2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 |
| 3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 43 |
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 40 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
| 10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 |
| 13 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 31 |
| 16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
| 18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 |
| 22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 |
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