SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 52.76%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Chesterfield |
25.06% ( -0.38) | 22.18% ( 0.06) | 52.76% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 61.35% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.85% ( -0.63) | 38.15% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.57% ( -0.67) | 60.42% ( 0.67) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% ( -0.62) | 28.17% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.14% ( -0.79) | 63.85% ( 0.8) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.41% ( -0.12) | 14.58% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.34% ( -0.22) | 42.66% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.56% Total : 25.06% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.18% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 6.19% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 52.76% |
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