SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Hartlepool United |
30.68% ( -0.13) | 25.54% ( 0.4) | 43.77% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 54.24% ( -1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.51% ( -1.74) | 49.49% ( 1.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.47% ( -1.59) | 71.53% ( 1.59) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.03% ( -0.96) | 29.97% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.92% ( -1.18) | 66.08% ( 1.18) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.46% ( -0.86) | 22.54% ( 0.87) |
