SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Salisbury had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Salisbury win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Weston-super-Mare | Draw | Salisbury |
44.46% ( 0.15) | 26.43% ( -0.01) | 29.1% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 50.61% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.19% ( -0.02) | 53.81% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.72% ( -0.02) | 75.28% ( 0.02) |
| Weston-super-Mare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% ( 0.06) | 24.08% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.63% ( 0.09) | 58.37% ( -0.09) |
| Salisbury Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.67% ( -0.12) | 33.33% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.05% ( -0.13) | 69.95% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Weston-super-Mare | Draw | Salisbury |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 44.45% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 29.1% |
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