Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dartford would win this match.
