SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | St Albans City |
43.57% ( 0.22) | 23.87% ( -0.06) | 32.55% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 60.86% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.79% ( 0.24) | 41.21% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.39% ( 0.25) | 63.6% ( -0.25) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.82% ( 0.19) | 19.18% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.15% ( 0.32) | 50.84% ( -0.32) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( 0.02) | 24.7% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.76% ( 0.03) | 59.23% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | St Albans City |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.3% Total : 43.57% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 42 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 98 | 41 | 57 | 97 |
| 2 | DartfordDartford | 40 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 73 |
| 3 | Oxford CityOxford City | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 73 | 51 | 22 | 71 |
| 4 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 41 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 71 |
| 5 | Braintree TownBraintree | 42 | 18 | 13 | 11 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 42 | 19 | 9 | 14 | 64 | 48 | 16 | 66 |
| 7 | Worthing | 41 | 18 | 12 | 11 | 82 | 67 | 15 | 66 |
| 8 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 42 | 20 | 5 | 17 | 69 | 62 | 7 | 65 |
| 9 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 41 | 18 | 9 | 14 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 63 |
| 10 | Farnborough Town | 41 | 18 | 9 | 14 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 63 |
| 11 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 63 | 65 | -2 | 63 |
| 12 | Bath City | 41 | 16 | 10 | 15 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 58 |
| 13 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 58 |
| 14 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 42 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 54 |
| 15 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 41 | 14 | 8 | 19 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 50 |
| 16 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 49 |
| 17 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 41 | 12 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 48 |
| 18 | Slough TownSlough | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 54 | 73 | -19 | 47 |
| 19 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 41 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 46 |
| 20 | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 41 | 12 | 6 | 23 | 57 | 86 | -29 | 42 |
| 21 | Cheshunt | 41 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 40 |
| 22 | Weymouth | 41 | 10 | 6 | 25 | 50 | 75 | -25 | 36 |
| 23 | Hungerford TownHungerford | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 41 | 57 | -16 | 35 |
| 24 | Concord Rangers | 37 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 71 | -38 | 31 |
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