SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Oxford City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Oxford City |
36.81% ( -0.07) | 25.22% ( 0.02) | 37.97% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.98% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.33% ( -0.08) | 46.66% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.07% ( -0.07) | 68.93% ( 0.08) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( -0.07) | 24.83% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.57% ( -0.1) | 59.42% ( 0.11) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.8% ( -0) | 24.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.46% ( -0.01) | 58.54% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.83% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 36.81% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 37.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Ebbsfleet | 45 | 31 | 7 | 7 | 105 | 47 | 58 | 100 |
| 2 | DartfordDartford | 45 | 25 | 7 | 13 | 82 | 50 | 32 | 82 |
| 3 | Oxford CityOxford City | 45 | 21 | 15 | 9 | 82 | 54 | 28 | 78 |
| 4 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 45 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 78 |
| 5 | Braintree TownBraintree | 45 | 20 | 13 | 12 | 65 | 54 | 11 | 73 |
| 6 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 45 | 21 | 9 | 15 | 70 | 51 | 19 | 72 |
| 7 | Worthing | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 87 | 71 | 16 | 72 |
| 8 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 45 | 21 | 5 | 19 | 72 | 65 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 44 | 18 | 12 | 14 | 76 | 64 | 12 | 66 |
| 10 | Farnborough Town | 44 | 19 | 9 | 16 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 44 | 18 | 10 | 16 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 64 |
| 12 | Bath City | 44 | 17 | 10 | 17 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 61 |
| 13 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 45 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 60 |
| 14 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 45 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 56 | 66 | -10 | 59 |
| 15 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 44 | 16 | 10 | 18 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 58 |
| 16 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 44 | 15 | 8 | 21 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 53 |
| 17 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 44 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 52 |
| 18 | Slough TownSlough | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 57 | 77 | -20 | 50 |
| 19 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 42 | 66 | -24 | 48 |
| 20 | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 61 | 88 | -27 | 47 |
| 21 | Cheshunt | 44 | 11 | 10 | 23 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 43 |
| 22 | Concord Rangers | 43 | 12 | 7 | 24 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 43 |
| 23 | Weymouth | 44 | 12 | 6 | 26 | 54 | 77 | -23 | 42 |
| R | Hungerford TownHungerford | 44 | 10 | 10 | 24 | 47 | 65 | -18 | 40 |
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