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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hampton & Richmond win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hampton & Richmond win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Truro City win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hampton & Richmond | Draw | Truro City |
| 39.4% | 28.18% ( -0.02) | 32.42% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.82% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.74% ( 0.06) | 59.26% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.33% ( 0.05) | 79.67% ( -0.05) |
| Hampton & Richmond Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% ( 0.03) | 29.3% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.73% ( 0.04) | 65.27% ( -0.04) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.23% ( 0.04) | 33.77% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.57% ( 0.05) | 70.43% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hampton & Richmond | Draw | Truro City |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.6% Total : 39.39% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.18% | 0-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 32.42% |
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