SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Cheshunt had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Cheshunt win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheshunt | Draw | Worthing |
32.65% ( -2.66) | 24.62% ( 0.15) | 42.73% ( 2.5) |
| Both teams to score 58.22% ( -1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.32% ( -1.37) | 44.68% ( 1.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.96% ( -1.34) | 67.04% ( 1.33) |
| Cheshunt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.69% ( -2.2) | 26.31% ( 2.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.56% ( -3.03) | 61.44% ( 3.03) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.01% ( 0.59) | 20.98% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.25% ( 0.91) | 53.75% ( -0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheshunt | Draw | Worthing |
| 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.39) 1-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.41)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.27)3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.3)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.22)Other @ 3.25% Total : 32.65% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.62% | 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.28) 0-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.64)0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.61)1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.37)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.17)2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 42.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 32 | 7 | 7 | 110 | 47 | 63 | 103 |
| 2 | DartfordDartford | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 82 | 50 | 32 | 83 |
| 3 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 21 | 15 | 10 | 83 | 56 | 27 | 78 |
| 4 | Worthing | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 92 | 72 | 20 | 78 |
| 5 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 78 |
| 6 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 72 | 51 | 21 | 75 |
| 7 | Braintree TownBraintree | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 66 | 55 | 11 | 74 |
| 8 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 46 | 22 | 5 | 19 | 74 | 66 | 8 | 71 |
| 9 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 68 | 69 | -1 | 70 |
| 10 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 80 | 70 | 10 | 69 |
| 11 | Bath City | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64 | 57 | 7 | 67 |
| 12 | Farnborough Town | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 59 | 52 | 7 | 66 |
| 13 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 62 |
| 14 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 61 |
| 15 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 60 |
| 16 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 58 |
| 17 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 54 |
| 18 | Slough TownSlough | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 78 | -20 | 51 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 46 | 14 | 6 | 26 | 59 | 78 | -19 | 48 |
| 20 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 48 |
| R | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 61 | 89 | -28 | 48 |
| R | Concord Rangers | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 45 | 85 | -40 | 44 |
| R | Cheshunt | 46 | 11 | 10 | 25 | 48 | 74 | -26 | 43 |
| R | Hungerford TownHungerford | 46 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 40 |
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