SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 57.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Dulwich Hamlet had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Dulwich Hamlet win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Dulwich Hamlet |
57.06% ( -0.14) | 22.27% ( 0.05) | 20.67% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.15% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.32% ( -0.13) | 43.68% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.93% ( -0.12) | 66.07% ( 0.13) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.91% ( -0.09) | 15.09% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.38% ( -0.17) | 43.62% ( 0.17) |
| Dulwich Hamlet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.95% ( 0.01) | 35.05% ( -0.01) |
