SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Taunton Town had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Taunton Town win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bath City | Draw | Taunton Town |
42.46% ( 0.24) | 25.42% ( -0.02) | 32.12% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 55.27% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.56% ( 0.01) | 48.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.43% ( 0) | 70.57% ( -0.01) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.28% ( 0.12) | 22.71% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.62% ( 0.18) | 56.38% ( -0.18) |
| Taunton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.51% ( -0.15) | 28.48% ( 0.14) |
