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National League South | Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium
BW

Hornchurch
2 - 1
Boreham Wood

Wraight (28'), Balanta (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Dixson (78')
Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and Boreham Wood.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bath City 0-2 Hornchurch
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-1 Weston
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 18.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.15%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for an AFC Hornchurch win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
AFC HornchurchDrawBoreham Wood
18.96% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 24.02% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 57.02% (-0.111 -0.11)
Both teams to score 47% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.84% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)53.16% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.27% (-0.02 -0.02)74.73% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.65% (0.075000000000003 0.08)42.34% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.27% (0.064 0.06)78.73% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Boreham Wood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)18.48% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.32% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)49.68% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    AFC Hornchurch 18.96%
    Boreham Wood 57.01%
    Draw 24.02%
AFC HornchurchDrawBoreham Wood
1-0 @ 6.72% (0.021 0.02)
2-1 @ 4.88% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.89% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 18.96%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.82% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 13.21%
0-2 @ 11.15% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.59% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 6.28% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.65% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.32%
1-4 @ 2.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 57.01%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bath City 0-2 Hornchurch
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 2-2 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 1-1 Salisbury
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 0-1 Dorking
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 2-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-1 Weston
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 3-4 Boreham Wood
Monday, February 3 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-1 Boreham Wood
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-4 Chippenham
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Boreham Wood 3-1 Hampton
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Boreham Wood
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in National League South


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