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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Marine AFC had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Marine AFC win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Marine AFC |
44.37% ( -0.02) | 25.43% ( 0.02) | 30.21% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.38% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.8% ( -0.06) | 49.2% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.74% ( -0.05) | 71.26% ( 0.05) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.86% ( -0.03) | 22.14% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.48% ( -0.05) | 55.52% ( 0.05) |
| Marine AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.85% ( -0.02) | 30.15% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.7% ( -0.03) | 66.3% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Marine AFC |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 44.36% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.8% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.21% |
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