SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%).
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Alfreton Town |
31.83% ( -4.08) | 23.93% ( -1.02) | 44.23% ( 5.1) |
| Both teams to score 60.32% ( 2.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.21% ( 3.72) | 41.78% ( -3.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.81% ( 3.65) | 64.18% ( -3.65) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( -0.61) | 25.41% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.78% ( -0.85) | 60.22% ( 0.85) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.87% ( 3.95) | 19.13% ( -3.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.23% ( 6.15) | 50.77% ( -6.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.61) 1-0 @ 6.66% ( -1.32)2-0 @ 4.56% ( -1)3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.5)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.83% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.69) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.26)0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.86)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.53) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.35)0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.5)1-3 @ 5.02% ( 0.83)0-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.66)2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.52)1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.54)0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.41)2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.35)Other @ 3.3% Total : 44.23% |
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